[clearcutforum] CLIMATE CYCLES DRIVE WARS!

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Sunday, August 28, 2011

 

Statism needs war; a free country does not. Statism survives by looting; a free country survives by production. If men want to oppose war, it is statism that they must oppose. So long as they hold the tribal notion that the individual is sacrificial fodder for the collective, that some men have the right to rule others by force, and that some alleged good can justify it — there can be no peace within a nation and no peace among nations. http://venitism.blogspot.com

Columbia University assertss that climate cycles are driving wars all over Earth! In the first study of its kind, Columbia professors have linked a natural global climate cycle to periodic increases in warfare. The arrival of El Nino, which every three to seven years boosts temperatures and cuts rainfall, doubles the risk of civil wars across 90 affected tropical countries, and may help account for a fifth of worldwide conflicts during the past half-century, say the authors.

Men who are free to produce, have no incentive to loot; they have nothing to gain from war and a great deal to lose. Ideologically, the principle of individual rights does not permit a man to seek his own livelihood at the point of a gun, inside or outside his country. Economically, wars cost money; in a free economy, where wealth is privately owned, the costs of war come out of the income of private citizens — there is no overblown public treasury to hide that fact — and a citizen cannot hope to recoup his own financial losses (such as taxes or business dislocations or property destruction) by winning the war. Thus his own economic interests are on the side of peace.

In recent years, historians and climatologists have built evidence that past societies suffered and fell due in connection with heat or droughts that damaged agriculture and shook governments. This is the first study to make the case for such destabilization in the present day, using statistics to link global weather observations and well-documented outbreaks of violence. http://venitism.blogspot.com

In a free society, we are supposed to know the truth. In a society where truth becomes treason, however, we are in big trouble. The truth is that foreign spying, meddling, and outright military intervention in the post-World War II era has made us less secure, not more. And we have lost countless lives and spent trillions of euros for our trouble. Too often official government lies have provided justification for endless, illegal wars and hundreds of thousands of resulting deaths and casualties.

The study does not blame specific wars on El Nino, nor does it directly address the issue of long-term climate change. However, it raises potent questions, as many scientists think natural weather cycles will become more extreme with warming climate, and some suggest ongoing chaos in places like Somalia are already being stoked by warming climate.

The most important thing is that this looks at modern times, and it's done on a global scale. We can speculate that a long-ago Egyptian dynasty was overthrown during a drought. That's a specific time and place, that may be very different from today, so people might say, OK, we're immune to that now. This study shows a systematic pattern of global climate affecting conflict, and shows it right now.

The cycle known as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, is a periodic warming and cooling of the tropical Pacific Ocean. This affects weather patterns across much of Africa, the Mideast, India, southeast Asia, Australia, and the Americas, where half the world's people live. During the cool, or La Nina, phase, rain may be relatively plentiful in tropical areas; during the warmer El Nino, land temperatures rise, and rainfall declines in most affected places. http://venitism.blogspot.com

Interacting with other factors including wind and temperature cycles over the other oceans, El Nino can vary dramatically in power and length. At its most intense, it brings scorching heat and multi-year droughts. In higher latitudes, effects weaken, disappear or reverse; La Nina conditions earlier this year helped dry the U.S. Southwest and parts of east Africa.

If you have social inequality, people are poor, and there are underlying tensions, it seems possible that climate can deliver the knockout punch. When crops fail, people may take up a gun simply to make a living. Individuals often become more aggressive when temperatures rise. http://venitism.blogspot.com


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